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Asymmetric adjustment and bias in estimation of an equilibrium relationship from a cointegrating regression
journal contribution
posted on 2006-05-30, 10:27 authored by Sean Holly, Paul Turner, Melvyn WeeksThis paper uses Monte Carlo methods to investigate the effects of asymmetric adjustment on estimates of the parameters of the equilibrium relationship between a set of variables.We demonstrate that simple least squares estimates and the implicit estimates from a symmetric error correction model both lead to biases in the constant term. This bias increases with the size of the asymmetry and shows no tendency to decline with the sample size. We also show that if the biased estimates of the equilibrium relationship are then used to devide the sample into different regimes to test for assymmetric adjustment, then the resulting test has low power. The power of tests for asymmetry can be increased significantly by using simultaneous estimation of the parameters of the equilibrium relationship and the asymmetric adjustment process.
History
School
- Business and Economics
Department
- Economics
Pages
73650 bytesCitation
HOLLY, S.,TURNER, P.and WEEKS, M., 2003. Asymmetric adjustment and bias in estimation of an equilibrium relationship from a cointegrating regression. Computational Economics, 21, pp.195-202.Publisher
© Kluwer (Springer)Publication date
2003Notes
This is Restricted Access. The article was published in the journal, Computational Economics [© Springer] and is available at: http://www.springerlink.com/openurl.asp?genre=journal&issn=0927-7099ISSN
0927-7099Language
- en