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Title: Location, location, location: currency effects and return predictability?
Authors: Jordan, Steven J.
Vivian, Andrew
Wohar, Mark E.
Keywords: Currency
Fundamental ratios
Macro variables
Return forecasting
Issue Date: 2015
Publisher: © Taylor & Francis
Citation: JORDAN, S., VIVIAN, A. and WOHAR, M., 2015. Location, location, location: currency effects and return predictability? Applied Economics, 47(18), pp. 1883-1898.
Abstract: Most international financial market studies that compare across countries utilize the US dollar as the common numeraire. We explore the little studied question of the appropriate choice for the base currency and ask if currency choice can affect the final conclusion of whether predictability exists. We provide empirical results for stock return predictability that demonstrate the importance of the numeraire. For example, the existence (absence) of predictability for a US investor does not necessarily imply the existence (absence) of predictability for other foreign investors.
Description: This is an Accepted Manuscript of an article published by Taylor & Francis in Applied Economics on 21/01/2015, available online: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000537.
Version: Accepted for publication
DOI: 10.1080/00036846.2014.1000537
URI: https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/2134/21752
Publisher Link: http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/00036846.2014.1000537
ISSN: 0003-6846
Appears in Collections:Published Articles (Business School)

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