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Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/2134/329

Title: How homogenous are currency crises? A panel study using multiple-response models
Authors: Anastasatos, Tassos G.
Davidson, Ian R.
Keywords: currency crises
speculative pressure
exchange rate
limited-dependent variable models
Issue Date: 2004
Abstract: This paper presents formal evidence that currency episodes display heterogeneity in terms of their evolution, their impact on the inflicted economy and their links with financial, political and macroeconomic fundamentals. Limited-dependent variable models for ordered and unordered outcomes along with their heteroskedastic and random effects extensions are applied on a large panel of data comprising 40 years of monthly observations on 23 developed countries. Heterogeneity, complemented by indications of self-fulfilling expectations and noise, suggest that time and region specific predictive approaches and policy responses are more useful than trying to base analysis and policy decisions on more general patterns. Results are established with formal specification tests.
Description: Economics Research Paper, no. 04-23
URI: https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/2134/329
Appears in Collections:Working Papers (Economics)

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