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Title: The development of a more risk-sensitive and flexible airport safety area strategy: Part II. Accident location analysis and airport risk assessment case studies
Authors: Wong, Derek K.Y.
Pitfield, D.E.
Caves, Robert E.
Appleyard, A.J.
Keywords: Aircraft accidents
Location
Models
Case studies
Runway End
Safety Areas
Issue Date: 2008
Publisher: © Elsevier
Citation: WONG, D.K.Y. ... et al, 2008. The development of a more risk-sensitive and flexible airport safety area strategy: Part II. Accident location analysis and airport risk assessment case studies. Safety Science, 47 (7), pp. 913-924
Abstract: This two-part paper presents the development of an improved airport risk assessment methodology aimed at assessing risks related to aircraft accidents at and in the vicinity of airports and managing Airport Safety Areas (ASAs) as a risk mitigation measure. The improved methodology is more quantitative, risk-sensitive, flexible and transparent than standard risk assessment approaches. As such, it contributes to the implementation of Safety Management Systems at airports, as stipulated by the International Civil Aviation Organisation. The second part of the paper presents the analysis of accident locations, including the plotting of Complementary Cumulative Probability Distributions for the relevant accident types. These were then used in conjunction with the improved accident frequency models to produce Complementary Cumulative Frequency Distributions that could be used to assess risks related to specific runways and determine Airport Safety Area (ASA) dimensions necessary to meet a quantitative target level of safety. The approach not only takes into account risk factors previously ignored by standard risk assessments but also considers the operational and traffic characteristics of the runway concerned. The use of the improved risk assessment technique and risk management strategy using ASAs was also demonstrated in two case studies based on New York LaGuardia Airport and Boca Raton Airport in Florida.
Description: This is a journal article. It was published in the journal, Safety Science [© Elsevier] and the definitive version is available at: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09257535www.elsevier.com/locate/ssci
Version: Accepted for publication
DOI: doi:10.1016/j.ssci.2008.09.011
URI: https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/2134/4044
ISSN: 0925-7535
Appears in Collections:Published Articles (Civil and Building Engineering)

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