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Title: Injury severity analysis of accidents involving young male drivers in Great Britain
Authors: Gray, Rebecca C.
Quddus, Mohammed A.
Evans, Andrew
Keywords: Young male drivers
Severity of accidents
Ordered probit models
Safety targets
Safety policy
Issue Date: 2008
Publisher: © National Safety Council and Elsevier
Citation: GRAY, R.C., QUDDUS, M.A. and EVANS, A., 2008. Injury severity analysis of accidents involving young male drivers in Great Britain. Journal of Safety Research, 39 (5), pp. 483-495
Abstract: Young male drivers are over-represented in traffic accidents; they were involved in 14% of fatal accidents from 1991 to 2003 while holding only 8% of all drivers licenses in the UK. In this study, a subset of the UK national road accident data from 1991 to 2003 has been analyzed. The primary aim is to determine how to best use monetary and progressive resources to understand how road safety measures will reduce the severity of accidents involving young male drivers in both London and Great Britain. Method: Ordered probit models were used to identify specific accident characteristics that increase the likelihood of one of three categorical outcomes of accident severity: slight, serious, or fatal. Results: Characteristics found to lead to a higher likelihood of serious and fatal injuries are generally similar across Great Britain and London but are different from those predicted to lead to a higher likelihood of slight injuries. Those characteristics predicted to lead to serious and fatal injuries include driving in darkness, between Friday and Sunday, on roads with a speed limit of 60 mph, on single carriageways, overtaking, skidding, hitting an object off the carriageway, and when passing the site of a previous accident. Characteristics predicted to lead to slight injuries include driving in daylight, between Monday and Thursday, on roads with a speed limit of 30 mph or less, at a roundabout, waiting to move, and when an animal is on the carriageway. Impact on Industry: These results aid the selection of policy options that are most likely to reduce the severity of accidents involving young male drivers.
Description: This article was published in Journal of Safety Research [© National Safety Council and Elsevier]. The definitive version is available at: http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jsr.2008.07.003
Version: Accepted for publication
DOI: 10.1016/j.jsr.2008.07.003
URI: https://dspace.lboro.ac.uk/2134/5303
ISSN: 0022-4375
Appears in Collections:Published Articles (Architecture, Building and Civil Engineering)

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